Capacity forecasts are projections of the available electricity generation resources needed to meet future demand, ensuring grid reliability and market efficiency. ESAI Power provides capacity forecasts for NYISO, PJM, ISO-NE, and MISO by analyzing regional generation resources and transmission capabilities. We evaluate market trends, planned generation additions or retirements, and operational constraints unique to each Independent System Operator (ISO). ESAI integrates weather-driven demand projections to assess future supply-demand balances across these systems. The forecasts also consider inter-regional power flows, enabling these ISOs to plan for reliability and grid resilience. Through its reports, we support market participants and planners in understanding potential capacity risks and opportunities for investment within these regions.

Posts

NYISO Capacity Prices Volatile Heading into Winter 2023-24 | Capacity Watch Blog

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As the days grow shorter and temperatures drop, the New York State energy market gears up for another winter season. The New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) manages the state’s energy needs, ensuring a reliable power supply during the colder months. This blog post will delve into the critical details of the NYISO Installed Capacity Market for the Winter 2023/24 season, shedding light on auction schedules, clearing price volatility, and notable changes compared to the previous winter.

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NYISO Capacity Price Forecast | Capacity Watch Blog

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In ESAI’s latest Capacity Watch update, ESAI delivers our NYISO Capacity Market Forecast out to 2032/33 Capability Year.

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MISO PRA Scheduled to start April 18th | Capacity Watch Blog

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ESAI brings 20 years of experience analyzing and forecasting the Capacity Markets in PJM, ISO-NE and NYISO, into our new Capacity coverage of MISO. ESAI also maintains a MISO Energy Asset Database (Delivered to subscribers in excel) that tracks the MISO Interconnection queue to forecast Renewables Additions that produces a Probability Weighted Renewable Additions forecast, any Fossil Additions, and also any plant Retirements or forecasting plants at risk of retirement. 

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ISO-NE FCA17 Auction Dynamics and Capacity Price Forecast | Capacity Watch Blog

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In ESAI’s latest Capacity Watch report, we analyze the ISO-NE FCA17, Forward Capacity Auction. ESAI’s coverage includes auction parameters, qualified capacity, and expected auction dynamics. These are all detailed in our Capacity Watch report.

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PJM BRA 2023/24 Capacity Price Forecast | Capacity Watch Blog

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ESAI Power’s recent Capacity Watch includes our forecast for the PJM BRA 2023/24. Our PJM analysis this quarter includes ESAI’s forecast for the PJM BRA 2023/24 and reflects upon MOPR, MSOC, ELCC and VRR Curves.

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