Energy Watch

ESAI Power publishes Energy Watch^TM to help investors, generation owners, developers, utilities, regulators, and energy buyers understand the micro/macro trends that impact energy prices. ESAI produces 10-year power price forecasts for major price hubs and zones within the three Northeast power markets using security-constrained dispatch modeling.

We deliver an ongoing analysis of both North American and Northeast regional natural gas markets. Gas price forecasts and market commentary are included in the Energy Watch^TM quarterly and monthly publications. ESAI Power provides basis forecasts for most Northeast delivered gas pricing points, including Tetco M3, Transco Zone 6 New York, and Algonquin City Gate. We track pipeline and gas infrastructure projects and analyze changes in pipeline system constraints that can impact regional basis spreads.

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PJM Load Forecast Update | February 2024 | Energy Watch Blog

February 20, 2024

ESAI Power's latest Energy Watch market update includes our current 10-year power and natural gas price forecast across PJM, NYISO and ISO-NE. The update also includes our natural gas price forecast, based on our fundamental long-term view, along with forward market prices for the initial years. This blog post will delve into the critical details behind our near-term and long-term 10-year energy market forecast for ISO-New England.

RGGI Auction 62 Clears at CCR Trigger of $14.88 | Emissions Watch Blog

December 8, 2023

The most recent RGGI quarterly auction (Auction 62) was held on December 6, 2023. The clearing price was $14.88/ton, 7.4 percent higher than the clearing price of $13.85/ton on September 6, 2023 (see Figure 1). Auction 62 represents the third consecutive auction with increasing clearing prices, which follows three prior consecutive auctions with decreasing clearing prices.

PM2.5 and NAAQS Update | Emissions Watch Blog

February 15, 2023

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued a proposed rule to strengthen the primary (health-based) annual National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for fine particle pollution, PM2.5. Specifically, the EPA is proposing to revise the primary annual standard from 12.0 µg/m3 to a value within the range of 9.0 and 10.0 µg/m3.

Are Power Forwards Overvalued for Summer 2022? | Energy Watch Blog

May 11, 2022

Power forward contracts for this summer are trading north of $100/MWh in PJM, NYISO, and ISO-NE. Implied forward spark spreads – an indicator of the profitability of gas-fired power plants – have exploded, greatly exceeding anything that has historically been realized in the power markets.

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Energy Watch

Our Energy Watch Publication

Download Our Energy Watch Brochure

Read Our Latest Energy Watch Blog Posts

PJM Load Forecast Update | February 2024 | Energy Watch Blog

RGGI Auction 62 Clears at CCR Trigger of $14.88 | Emissions Watch Blog

PM2.5 and NAAQS Update | Emissions Watch Blog

Are Power Forwards Overvalued for Summer 2022? | Energy Watch Blog

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