10-Year Forecasts
ESAI Power continuously monitors and analyzes the power and natural gas markets in PJM, New York and New England. Our ongoing assessments include reviews of market conditions, granular forecasts of pool-wide and zonal energy pricing, fuel input forecasts, policy changes, and how these may impact energy prices and generator spark spreads looking forward.
ESAI Power helps investors, generation owners, developers, utilities, regulators, and energy buyers understand the micro/macro trends that impact energy prices. ESAI produces 10-year power price forecasts for major price hubs and zones within the three Northeast power markets using security-constrained dispatch modeling.
We deliver an ongoing analysis of both North American and Northeast regional natural gas markets. Gas price forecasts and market commentary are included in the Energy WatchTM publications. ESAI Power provides basis forecasts for most Northeast delivered gas pricing points, including Tetco M3, Transco Zone 6 New York, and Algonquin City Gate. We track pipeline and gas infrastructure projects and analyze changes in pipeline system constraints that can impact regional basis spreads.
Our Energy Watch Publications
Energy WatchTM is any analysis of market and policy issues affecting energy pricing dynamics over the next 10-year period for both the power and natural gas sectors. This analysis includes forecasts of pool-wide and zonal energy prices in New England, New York, and PJM, including forecasts of fuel inputs. Supporting assumptions are provided in each quarterly report. Forecast data is provided in spreadsheet format which includes monthly on-peak, off-peak, and 7×24 zonal power prices along with delivered natural gas prices for most Northeast regional pricing points.
Also included is ESAI’s long-term natural gas outlook, which reflects fundamental analysis, regional basis spreads, LNG projects under consideration and key issues impacting the gas market. ESAI also closely tracks developments in the renewable energy sector and maintains regional Tier 1 REC forecasts that are published every quarter as part of our Renewables Watch service.
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Please contact us for more information about our research product publications or our consulting services.